No ducking this Hawks math

  • Dave Bolland (from left), Patrick Sharp, Patrick Kane and the rest of the Blackhawks have had plenty to celebrate already, and it's only one-fourth through the season.
Dave Bolland (from left), Patrick Sharp, Patrick Kane and the rest of the… (Frederick Breedon/Getty…)
February 11, 2013|By Alex Quigley | For RedEye

Ladies and germs, the Blackhawks are the mayors of Craycraytown, population Us. They're only four games away from tying the all-time record of 16 games without a regulation loss to start a season. They'll eventually lose a game, but will it happen before the record falls? LET US MATH.

Tuesday vs. Anaheim

The Ducks are in the middle of a long road trip, and the Hawks will be home for the first time in weeks. Anaheim is an impressive 8-2-1 so far. A great Ducks offense could score early and silence the UC, and if there's a game on the homestand to have the nervous yips, this is the one.

Odds of losing: 45 percent

Friday vs. San Jose: After watching what Chicago did to the Sharks last week in a 5-3 win, I don't see the streak ending at home.

Odds of losing: 25 percent

Sunday vs. Los Angeles

A national TV audience against the defending champs? We saw this movie before. It ended with Patrick Kane yelling "Yippee ki yay" and the Nakatomi Building exploding. (I may have flipped to "Die Hard" after the Hawks' opening day 5-2 domination of the Kings.)

Odds of losing: 25 percent

Feb. 19 vs. Vancouver

Man, I hate these guys. And once again they're leading their division. But goalie Roberto Luongo tends to lose his mind at the UC.

Odds of losing: 35 percent

Odds of Luongo getting pulled midgame: 20 percent

Feb. 22 vs. San Jose

Yep, the Sharks circle back as part of the same long road trip. Sucks for them. Awesome for us!

Odds of losing: 15 percent

Feb. 24 vs. Columbus

The good news for the Blue Jackets is they're better this year! The bad news is this game is their last on a six-game, two-week trek. Worse news: The Blackhawks are really good.

Odds of losing: 10 percent

Feb. 25 vs. Edmonton

Edmonton is near the bottom of the league in 5-on-5 goal ratio. For the casual fan: They're really bad at stopping the other team from scoring goals and also bad at scoring goals themselves.

Odds of losing: 15 percent

By the way ...

Odds of going undefeated in regulation all season: 0.05 percent

Odds of breaking the record: 25 percent. Tuesday vs. Anaheim is their toughest test.

Odds of making the playoffs: 100 percent. Book it. Done.

Alex Quigley is a RedEye special contributor.

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