Some young voters not so hot on Obama anymore

December 15, 2011|By Leonor Vivanco, RedEye

The Millennials who helped President Obama get to the White House have doubts he will be successful in seeking a second term, according to results of a poll released Thursday.

A poll by the Harvard's Institute of Politics found that regardless of which candidate adults under 30 support for president in 2012, 36 percent think Obama will lose re-election, 32 percent don't know and 30 percent say he'll win. The remaining 2 percent didn't answer.

The survey of more than 2,000 adults ages 18 to 29 conducted between Nov. 23 and Dec. 3 has a margin of error of two percentage points.

"While we are more than a year away – it's important to note that with enthusiasm about politics and Washington down, nearly three-quarters of Millennials seriously concerned about jobs and the economy – and more believing that the President they helped elect will lose, rather than win re-election – this survey may well serve as an ominous sign for Barack Obama's 2012 chances and the political engagement of America's largest generation," said polling director John Della Volpe in a news release.

However, more young adults said they would be more likely to vote for Obama than a Republican candidate (35 percent vs. 29 percent) while roughly a third (34 percent) said they didn't know.

Still, a majority of Millennials think the country is on the wrong track (52 percent) and disapprove of the job Obama has done (51 percent).

A slim majority are "definitely" voting in the upcoming election. At least two-thirds or more say they are not likely to volunteer on a campaign, donate money to a campaign or attend a rally for the candidate. Only one-quarter consider themselves politically engaged or politically active.

"The key findings in our survey suggest that Millennials are prepared to show their frustration not through strong support for the eventual Republican nominee, but rather by punishing President Obama and the Democrats by not engaging, volunteering or voting in the same volume that they did in 2008," the report stated. | @lvivanco

When asked how likely is that that you will vote in the 2012 presidential election, Millennials answered:

51 percent: definitely

16 percent: probably

14 percent: 50/50 chance

7 percent: probably not

11 percent: definitely won't

1 percent: declined to answer

When asked how enthusiastic they are now compared to the presidential campaign four years ago, adults under 30 said:

18 percent: more

32 percent: less

47 percent: about the same

3 percent: declined to answer

RedEye Chicago Articles